Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 7.550497 8.805233 10.158285 11.720422 13.468634 15.359212 17.552622
2025-04-20 6.144000 7.800074 9.703465 12.034240 14.791716 17.930047 21.750796
2025-04-27 5.152997 7.035913 9.319514 12.254165 15.883652 20.182252 25.611475
2025-05-04 4.323855 6.312208 8.843922 12.239267 16.602841 21.948327 28.909703
2025-05-11 3.483210 5.437211 8.047589 11.695649 16.557389 22.703012 30.933894
2025-05-18 2.938263 4.877480 7.583257 11.505346 16.900202 23.905622 33.513015
2025-05-25 2.470457 4.357772 7.105153 11.229113 17.072818 24.852625 35.756109
2025-06-01 2.119821 3.962402 6.753902 11.081642 17.382348 25.960574 38.217204
2025-06-08 1.791214 3.553851 6.334685 10.787061 17.443966 26.706386 40.188231
2025-06-15 1.595632 3.336846 6.182652 10.866677 18.029260 28.178185 43.179096
2025-06-22 1.396403 3.084768 5.946381 10.790175 18.365747 29.295030 45.695152
2025-06-29 1.261664 2.929862 5.851387 10.920993 19.007816 30.858701 48.874709
2025-07-06 1.138084 2.780879 5.754383 11.043137 19.644799 32.443793 52.147671
2025-07-13 1.060315 2.710811 5.786186 11.374629 20.616518 34.548046 56.225453
2025-07-20 0.975200 2.613388 5.758329 11.599085 21.421792 36.422502 60.012339
2025-07-27 0.869266 2.455686 5.603640 11.590978 21.844910 37.724280 62.980237
2025-08-03 0.717556 2.170572 5.178304 11.073146 21.399617 37.668984 63.906572
2025-08-10 0.622013 1.997974 4.952251 10.892087 21.497229 38.447111 66.097768
2025-08-17 0.530947 1.818917 4.693258 10.628168 21.434230 38.960258 67.885913
2025-08-24 0.462043 1.682968 4.508297 10.487240 21.570323 39.786233 70.168018
2025-08-31 0.391128 1.526365 4.261027 10.205462 21.439767 40.168952 71.758065
2025-09-07 0.353770 1.457198 4.198908 10.281672 21.946265 41.601131 75.028659
2025-09-14 0.310922 1.362350 4.067845 10.208494 22.175283 42.576514 77.590297